Analyzing wide receivers and the snap data from the 2017 season fell right in line with our previous post which observed players from all offensive positions found here that showed those players with a higher Snap Played % led to higher point production. Please note in this analysis we are only comparing those players who registered at least 10 snaps a game and also participated in 4 or more games.
We looked at Standard & Point Per Reception formats separately to determine if the different scoring formats had varying drivers.
STANDARD SCORING FORMAT
We found the highest correlation between fantasy points was attributed to snaps percentage played, which was responsible for nearly 84.5% of points scored. Snaps played had a correlation of 76.2% of points, and target snap percentage (or the amount of times a pass was intended for a receiver) came in third at 70.4%.
This was surprising as I would have anticipated the target percentage to be the driver for the wide receiver group, although a correlation of 70% is also quite impressive. I guess the motto rings true, “you need to be in it to win it” and being on the field is the most important factor for receivers in the standard scoring format. This does make sense since those on the field will log more touchdowns which of course is the most important factor in all leagues.
POINT PER RECEPTION SCORING FORMAT
Changing views to look at the point per reception format and not much has changed. The target % is slightly more important so I believe if you are stuck between two players during your PPR draft, targets may be the deciding factor. We will be doing a piece on projected points and targets for 2018 which can be found here.
The chart below shows all correlation’s for PPR leagues: